My predictions for the Senate and Governor races

Here are my predictions for the Senate races. They were originally posted on my business site, last night.

Predictions for the Senate

STATE                     WINNER           COMMENTS

Alabama               Shelby               Southern state, popular incumbent

Alaska                    Murkowski      If she can win as a write-in, she should win as a party nominee

Arizona                  McCain              The incumbent survives another tough battle

Arkansas               Boozman          Southern state

California              Harris                 In a race between two Democrats, the state’s runoff again fails to elect the more moderate candidate. Harris could challenge Sanders and Warren as the darling of the left.

Colorado               Bennet              This could have been a closer race in another time. Republican may have suffered because of Trump.

Connecticut         Blumenthal      A weak senator with no real opposition

Florida                   Rubio                 Rubio gets his second pick. Promises to work at least two years before running for President again.

Georgia                 Isakson              Not particularly close

Hawaii                    Schatz                Traditional Democratic state reelects the incumbent

Idaho                     Crapo                 Strong incumbent

Illinois                    Duckworth       Republican incumbent is unable to keep the seat

Indiana                  Coats                  Incumbent keeps the seat by a narrow margin

Iowa                       Grassley            Long-time incumbent returns

Kansas                   Moran               Strong incumbent

Kentucky              Paul                    Paul lives to fight another day

Louisiana              Open                  Kennedy and Campbell look likely to make the runoff. Could set up a fight for Senate control

Maryland              Van Holland     The election of a Republican governor was largely a fluke. Democrats probably have this seat for a long time.

Missouri                Blunt                  Incumbent runs an inept campaign, still wins

Nevada                 Cortez Masto  Reid’s turn out the vote machine outlasts him. A bitter defeat for Republicans

New Hampshire                             Ayotte    One of the more promising incumbents keeps her seat

New York             Schumer           No serious opposition to the next party leader

North Carolina    Burr                    Weak incumbent is helped by Trump

North Dakota      Hoeven             Rural state

Ohio                       Portman           One of the classier guys in the Senate runs a strong race

Oklahoma            Lankford           Rural state

Oregon                  Wyden              A strong incumbent wins easily

Pennsylvania      McGinty            Toomey cannot overcome Trumpism

South Carolina    Scott                   Southern state

South Dakota      Thune                A great senator returns

Utah                       Lee                      A safe seat

Vermont               Leahy                 Not a close race

Washington         Murray              No serious challenger

Wisconsin             Feingold            Despite narrowing polls, the one guy that Johnson might have beat returns to the Senate.

Predictions for Governors

STATE                                      WINNER                  COMMENTS

Delaware                               Markell                     Strong Democratic state

Indiana                                   Gregg                        A Democrat succeeds Pence

Missouri                                 Greitens                  Republican wins narrowly helped by Trump turnout

Montana                               Bullock                      Republican challenger is unable to unseat the incumbent, despite the state’s Republican leanings

New Hampshire                 Sununu                    A new Sununu become governor.

North Carolina                     Cooper                     Republican incumbent is defeated

North Dakota                       Burgum

Oregon                                   Brown                       Traditional Democratic state

Utah                                        Herbert

Vermont                                Scott                          Republican wins comfortably in a Democratic state

Washington                          Inslee                        Popular governor returns

West Virginia                       Cole                           There is justice, Trump beats mini Trump


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