Here are my predictions for the Senate races. They were originally posted on my business site, Kennedyresearchllc.com last night.
Predictions for the Senate
STATE WINNER COMMENTS
Alabama Shelby Southern state, popular incumbent
Alaska Murkowski If she can win as a write-in, she should win as a party nominee
Arizona McCain The incumbent survives another tough battle
Arkansas Boozman Southern state
California Harris In a race between two Democrats, the state’s runoff again fails to elect the more moderate candidate. Harris could challenge Sanders and Warren as the darling of the left.
Colorado Bennet This could have been a closer race in another time. Republican may have suffered because of Trump.
Connecticut Blumenthal A weak senator with no real opposition
Florida Rubio Rubio gets his second pick. Promises to work at least two years before running for President again.
Georgia Isakson Not particularly close
Hawaii Schatz Traditional Democratic state reelects the incumbent
Idaho Crapo Strong incumbent
Illinois Duckworth Republican incumbent is unable to keep the seat
Indiana Coats Incumbent keeps the seat by a narrow margin
Iowa Grassley Long-time incumbent returns
Kansas Moran Strong incumbent
Kentucky Paul Paul lives to fight another day
Louisiana Open Kennedy and Campbell look likely to make the runoff. Could set up a fight for Senate control
Maryland Van Holland The election of a Republican governor was largely a fluke. Democrats probably have this seat for a long time.
Missouri Blunt Incumbent runs an inept campaign, still wins
Nevada Cortez Masto Reid’s turn out the vote machine outlasts him. A bitter defeat for Republicans
New Hampshire Ayotte One of the more promising incumbents keeps her seat
New York Schumer No serious opposition to the next party leader
North Carolina Burr Weak incumbent is helped by Trump
North Dakota Hoeven Rural state
Ohio Portman One of the classier guys in the Senate runs a strong race
Oklahoma Lankford Rural state
Oregon Wyden A strong incumbent wins easily
Pennsylvania McGinty Toomey cannot overcome Trumpism
South Carolina Scott Southern state
South Dakota Thune A great senator returns
Utah Lee A safe seat
Vermont Leahy Not a close race
Washington Murray No serious challenger
Wisconsin Feingold Despite narrowing polls, the one guy that Johnson might have beat returns to the Senate.
Predictions for Governors
STATE WINNER COMMENTS
Delaware Markell Strong Democratic state
Indiana Gregg A Democrat succeeds Pence
Missouri Greitens Republican wins narrowly helped by Trump turnout
Montana Bullock Republican challenger is unable to unseat the incumbent, despite the state’s Republican leanings
New Hampshire Sununu A new Sununu become governor.
North Carolina Cooper Republican incumbent is defeated
North Dakota Burgum
Oregon Brown Traditional Democratic state
Vermont Scott Republican wins comfortably in a Democratic state
Washington Inslee Popular governor returns
West Virginia Cole There is justice, Trump beats mini Trump